On May 10 local time, the Pakistani military officially launched a military operation in response to India's ongoing provocations. The operation targets multiple targets in India, covering multiple regions across India.

The picture shows the Indian K-9 self-propelled artillery

The picture shows the Indian K-9 self-propelled artillery

In terms of the army, although the Indian army has an absolute numerical advantage, its equipment is generally extremely backward (the armored forces lack the upgrade to combat drones, and the artillery has severely lacked guided shells and extended-range ammunition that are commonly equipped with modern artillery), and the ammunition inventory is even more stretched, and most of the new ammunition produced by the company is used to sell it to Ukraine to earn foreign exchange. According to Pakistani commentators, India's body-barrel ammunition with a caliber of more than 130mm is likely to have consumed more than 10%. Its elite mountain troops, special operations detachments and new equipment such as T-90 tanks were constrained on the Eastern Front, and objectively lacked the ability to break through to Pakistan's fortification areas.

The picture shows India testing the launch of the Brahmos cruise missile using Su-30MKI fighter jet

The picture shows India testing the launch of the Brahmos cruise missile using Su-30MKI fighter jet

For India, the "Storm Shadow", "Bramos" cruise missiles and legal "Harves" guided bombs launched by air platforms are still possible strike options. However, outsiders do not know whether France will restrict India's use of Rafale fighter jets to avoid another public relations disaster. In addition to the initial fixed-wing fighter jets, the air launch platform in India's hands has been shown in an exercise held near the conflict zone in India. However, considering Pakistan's air defense early warning capabilities demonstrated in the conflict, the US will likely prevent India from using AH-64 around the conflict zone. .The Indian domestic HAL "Rudra Growler" helicopter conducted a test firing of the "Venus" air-launched anti-tank missile, with a range of about 7 kilometers.

The picture shows an Indian drone shot down by the Pakistani military

The picture shows an Indian drone shot down by the Pakistani military

In addition, the performance of Indian ballistic missiles and suicide drone units is extremely poor, far less than that of Russia and Ukraine. In addition, the worse intelligence collection capabilities are simply not enough to deter and strike Pakistan's strategic goals.

In the absence of air and ground forces, the only possible way for the Indian army to break the disadvantage is actually at sea. Because the size gap between the Indian and Pakistani navy is actually larger than that of the Air Force, but the technical gap is smaller.

The picture shows the Indian dual aircraft carrier formation

The picture shows the Indian dual aircraft carrier formation

In terms of equipment, the Indian Navy owns two aircraft carriers - the Vikrant and the Vikramatia. Although both are conventional powered ski-jump deck aircraft carriers, the latter has poor technical condition and doubtful combat effectiveness. But the existence of these two aircraft carriers means that they can launch attacks from sea at any time, which means that the Pakistani Navy and Air Force must maintain a certain amount of force in the southwest. In the event of war on other fronts, local Pakistani sea and air forces will likely be mobilized, thus providing an opportunity for Indian sea and air forces to attack.

This situation has existed in the previous India-Pakistan War. In the Third India-Pakistan War that broke out in 1971, the Indian Navy blocked Pakistan's maritime routes through aircraft carriers and destroyers, and used missile boat fleets to launch anti-ship missiles on December 4 and 6 to bomb cities and ports along Pakistan. The attack destroyed a large number of coastal warehouses, oil storage facilities and fishing boats, which severely hit Pakistan's fuel reserves, industry and fishery. Coupled with the continuous blockade in Shanghai, the outcome of the war was determined objectively.

The picture shows the USS Vikrant aircraft carrier equipped by the Indian Navy during the Third India-Pakistan War.

The picture shows the USS Vikrant aircraft carrier equipped by the Indian Navy during the Third India-Pakistan War.

In this conflict, the Indian Navy can fully replicate its previous successful tactics. In fact, the Indian Navy has been building based on the experience of this war. Most of its naval warships have the ability to carry and launch the Brahmos cruise missile. Compared with the "Styx" that made a big splash in the 1971 war, the Brahmos has a longer range, faster flight speed and smarter flight, and naturally has a more serious threat to Pakistan's depth.

In previous struggles, the Pakistani Navy relied on submarine forces to move out of the Indian Ocean and harass and restrain the Indian Navy. For example, the Pakistani Navy hero, the "Hangor" submarine, which sank the British anti-submarine ship in the Third India-Pakistan War, is also the reason why the Pakistani Navy has always been keen on developing submarine forces. However, the Indian Navy has also upgraded its anti-submarine helicopter troops in recent years and purchased advanced P-8I anti-submarine patrol aircraft, which has significantly improved its anti-submarine capabilities. In addition, the Indian Navy also has three Kolkata-class destroyers and Visaka-class frigates. While they are carrying the Brahmos missile, they also have phased array radar and Israel-made "Barak-8 air defense missiles, which have strong response capabilities to air attacks.

The Kh35 anti-ship missile and R77 air-to-air missiles carried by the MiG 29K carried by the Indian aircraft carrier pose a major threat to some Pakistani Navy equipment. (MiG-29K/KUB carrier-based fighter aircraft equipped by the Indian Navy)

The Kh35 anti-ship missile and R77 air-to-air missiles carried by the MiG 29K carried by the Indian aircraft carrier pose a major threat to some Pakistani Navy equipment. (MiG-29K/KUB carrier-based fighter aircraft equipped by the Indian Navy)

To sum up, if India wants to carry out a larger aggression against Pakistan, or in their words - "strike back", the naval power should be the only efficient card.

There is no major interest on both sides of this conflict that is worth fighting for, and it is more caused by the risk of Indian military forces. But under the populist ideology, the Indian government cannot come to Taiwan and can only continue to launch new attacks. But objectively, both sides have serious ammunition reserves, and domestic conflicts are very serious, and they do not have the ability and intention of long-term military confrontation. If nothing unexpected happens, large-scale armed conflicts should end within the month.