Expert interpretation: Where is the way out for tensions in India and Pakistan

On May 8, people gathered near the scene of the Indian drone attack in Rawalpindi, Punjab Province, Pakistan. Posted by Xinhua News Agency (photo by Ahmed Kamal)
  Progress: India and Pakistani officials have "contact"

  Pakistani Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Dar disclosed in a TV interview on the evening of the 7th that after India's military operation on the 7th, Pakistan and India had "contacts between national security advisers."

  It is also reported that India announced on April 30 that it would reorganize the National Security Advisory Committee and appoint Josh, former head of the Research and Analysis Department of the Foreign Intelligence Agency, as chairman of the committee. One day later, Pakistan appointed Malik, director of the Pakistani Army Intelligence Bureau, as Pakistani national security adviser on May 1.

  Pakistani analysts believe that Pakistan and India each appoint senior intelligence officials as national security advisers, with the intention of establishing unconventional channels for communication and "counterattacks".

  Tensions in India-Pakistan have been escalating since the shootings in the Indian-controlled Kashmir area on April 22. The Indian military launched a military strike on many targets in Pakistan and Pakistan-controlled Kashmir in the early morning of the 7th. Pakistan immediately counterattacked and said it had shot down several Indian fighter jets.

  Chaudhury, director of the Pakistani Army News Bureau, said on the evening of the 7th that the Indian army's attacks have killed 31 people and injured 57 people.

This is a building that was shot by an Indian airstrike on May 7 in Muzaffarabad, the capital of Pakistan-controlled Kashmir. Posted by Xinhua News Agency (photo by Mohamed Ding Mugar)
  Key: How India and Pakistan view the 7-day results

  Ye Hailin, president of the South Asian Society of China, believes that India issued a statement on the 7th saying that the action in the early morning of the day was "calculated" and "responsible" and "not aiming to escalate the situation." This at least in terms of wording, India hopes to alleviate domestic political pressure and show its strategic advantages through a limited military strike. At the same time, Pakistan does not want the situation to escalate further due to domestic and international considerations.

  Many experts believe that India and Pakistan’s notification of the fire exchange on the 7th showed that there are both military gains and losses. How both sides view this result to determine the next action or the situation may be the key.

  Lin Minwang, deputy director of the Institute of International Studies, Fudan University, believes that judging from the current signs, the two sides may also be on the track of cooling down the situation.

  Mahmoud Hassan Khan, executive director of the South Asian and International Research Center of Islamabad, Pakistan, said that Pakistan has not selected any civilian targets in the counterattack since the 7th and has adhered to the bottom line.

  Juhar Gilani, an expert on international issues in India, believes that India's military action on the 7th is intended to ease the sentiment of the people at home, but at the same time, some Indian people also called on their governments to remain restrained after the 7th action and oppose the escalation of conflict.

On May 7, in Muzaffarabad, the capital of Pakistan-controlled Kashmir, people checked the losses in a building that was airstrike by India. Posted by Xinhua News Agency (photo by Mohamed Ding Mugar)
  Way Out: Return to calmness, negotiate dialogue

  Experts believe that the return of India and Pakistan to calm down and negotiate dialogue is the ultimate way to cool down the situation and solve the problem.

  Ye Hailin pointed out that counter-terrorism is a common task between India and Pakistan and requires international cooperation. Excessive use of force in the name of counter-terrorism can easily transform problems that require cooperation to resolve into fierce confrontations between countries. The two sides should adopt a more sincere attitude in cooperation to combat terrorism, carry out technical cooperation, and create practical conditions for the improvement of bilateral relations.

  Experts believe that the India-Pakistan conflict has a long history and has its historical roots. This intensification of the conflict is led by the Kashmir shootings and is also related to the recent policies of relevant countries.

  Ye Hailin believes that the tense confrontation between India and Pakistan in the past few decades shows that military operations cannot solve the problem and ultimately need to return to the track of solving the problem through consultation. (Reporters: Song Ying, Ma Qian, Jiang Chao, Wu Yue)

[Editor in charge: Gu Yue]

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