Israeli Defense Minister Kats said on the 7th that the Israeli army will expand military operations in the Gaza Strip, fully control the Gaza Strip, and concentrate Gaza people to a narrow area in the southern part of the Gaza Strip.
Katz stressed that this operation is different from the past. Every area occupied by the Israeli army will not withdraw even if a ceasefire agreement is reached.
So, what impact will the Israeli army have on the regional situation if it "occupyes" Gaza in a comprehensive manner?
Qin Tian, deputy director of the Middle East Institute of the China Institute of Modern International Relations: First of all, for Israel, this decision will cause further division of its domestic public opinion and political arena. Because in the past year and a half, Israel's domestic opinions have shown a trend of polarization in Israel's military operations against Gaza. Some people believe that only a military solution can be adopted for the Gaza issue, that is, if the past military clearance cannot completely solve the problem, then it will need to be even stronger in the future, that is, what Israel now says is necessary to re-occupy Gaza and carry out territorial annexation. Another group believes that further occupation of Gaza will only further consume Israel's national strength and military power, and will eventually become a means for Israel's Prime Minister Netanyahu and the far-right forces supporting him to consolidate and expand power. It can be imagined that as Israel further expands its military operations in Gaza, this division and division will further intensify.
Qin Tian, deputy director of the Middle East Institute of China Institute of Contemporary International Relations: Second, Israel's action this time has also increased the risk of instability or worsening situation in the Middle East. Because if we don’t look at Israel’s military operations against Gaza, there have been some positive trends in the Middle East recently. For example, the United States and Iran are in contact and negotiations on the Iran nuclear issue; the United States and the Houthi armed forces have recently reached an agreement to stop attacking each other; the situation in Syria and Lebanon is generally controllable. However, since the Palestine-Israeli conflict is related to the situation in the Iranian nuclear issue, Yemen, Syria and Lebanon, as the Palestine-Israeli conflict deteriorates, it is obvious that new fluctuations will occur in easing trends in these directions, and Israel's actions have created new obstacles to easing in all directions.
Qin Tian, deputy director of the Middle East Institute of the China Institute of Modern International Relations: Third, this Israeli action may also provide new soil for the rebound of terrorist organizations. If we look at the second half of the 20th century, one of the important excuses for terrorist organizations to launch terrorist attacks is the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Terrorist organizations believe that Israel's attack and oppression against Palestine has caused injustice, so the terrorist action they took is to avenge the Palestinians. If Israel launches further large-scale military occupation this time and completely transforms Gaza into a refugee camp, it will obviously provide more excuses for terrorist organizations to create trouble.
[Editor in charge: Wang Jinzhi]
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